Cover of the investigative research report The Wait for Care by Kelly Emrick

Investigative research report · Interactive dashboard and scenario model

The Wait for Care

Improving timely patient access across the care continuum, with the proposed Timely Care Access Model, its operating measures, and a scenario engine for testing capacity and process decisions before they are funded.

  • Primary care
  • Specialty care
  • Hospital care
  • Research
  • Accountability
  • Timely care

The patient waits across organizational boundaries

A patient can get an appointment and still not receive timely care

The visit may produce an unaccepted referral, a diagnostic test that cannot be scheduled, or a hospital discharge plan that no outpatient team has agreed to carry out. Each department can record a completed task while the clinical question remains unresolved.

An investigation of access must therefore follow the patient’s need across those boundaries and ask who remained responsible when progress stopped. This dashboard turns the investigative report The Wait for Care into working tools: the Timely Care Access Model, its operating specification and measures, an episode tracer, and a scenario engine for testing capacity and process decisions. It also carries the companion CARE Index from More Capacity, Longer Waits on its own labeled tab.

The decision for healthcare leaders

Adopt a common definition of timely appropriate care, make unresolved demand visible, and pilot a connected pathway spanning primary care, one specialty, and hospital discharge.

Establish the baseline before setting improvement targets. Evaluate waiting time together with clinical safety, continuity, equity, patient burden, and workforce capacity.

National context

The queue is visible in every part of the continuum

31 days

Average new-patient wait across six specialties in 15 large metros in 2025, the longest in the survey’s history.

AMN Healthcare 2025 survey, as reported in More Capacity, Longer Waits.

34.8%

Share of 103,737 referral scheduling attempts across a 34-clinic network with a documented completed visit.

Patel et al., JGIM 2018 (single system, historical).

25%+

Admitted ED patients boarding 4 hours or longer in non-peak months, rising to about 35 percent in winter.

Janke et al., Health Affairs 2025, as reported in More Capacity, Longer Waits.

29.7%

U.S. adults reporting no usual source of care in 2023, with 13.9 percent of children.

Milbank Memorial Fund 2026 Primary Care Scorecard.

Three investigative questions

What an institutional investigation should ask first

1

Where does elapsed time accumulate?

Reconstruct the patient-level chronology from the original request, not from the most recent booking.

2

Which patients fail to receive the intended care?

Averages calculated only among completed appointments exclude people still in the queue or who abandoned the process.

3

What happened to their clinical needs while they waited?

Administrative closure can obscure failure when staff mark a referral complete after unanswered calls.

Editorial illustration of patients and clinicians across primary, specialty, and hospital care
Illustrative scene. The people shown are not identified research participants. The proposed model requires local evaluation.

Working definition

Timely access is completion, not a booked slot

The report defines timely access as completion of a clinically appropriate action within a prospectively documented timeframe, with an accountable team responsible for communication and follow-through. Timeliness is conditional on need. An emergency, a time-sensitive diagnostic concern, a routine consultation, and planned surveillance require different pathways.

The investigative hypothesis is that some delay comes from insufficient staffed capacity, while another portion comes from how existing capacity is organized and how work passes between teams. These causes require different responses, which is why the Scenario Model tab separates structure changes from process changes.

How to use this dashboard. Start with The Model for the six operating functions, test the original-clock rule in Episode Tracer, check your reporting against the denominator rules in Measures, and run capacity decisions through Scenario Model before committing resources. All calculator defaults are hypothetical and illustrative.
Status of the model. The Timely Care Access Model is an original, evidence-informed synthesis by Kelly Emrick for local testing. It is not a validated clinical instrument, a universal waiting-time standard, or a replacement for professional judgment. Evidence varies in certainty and generalizability.

The proposed Timely Care Access Model

Six operating functions connected through a shared episode record

Primary, specialty, and hospital services are routes within a network. Patients may enter any route, move between them, or require several in parallel. Emergency escalation bypasses routine scheduling and authorization workflows. Select any function or route to see its required action, accountable role, and the evidence that it was completed.

A shared episode record preserves the original request time across all services.

Operating function

Recognize the need

Register the request once and capture barriers and contact preferences.

Required action
Register the request once; capture barriers and contact preferences.
Accountable role
Intake lead
Completion evidence
Episode ID and original timestamp
Figure 3 from the report: conceptual architecture of the Timely Care Access Model

Figure 3. Conceptual architecture of the Timely Care Access Model. Original conceptual synthesis informed by Levesque et al. (2013), the Institute of Medicine (2015), and the evidence reviewed. Arrows show possible handoffs, not mandatory progression or a validated causal model.

Table 1. Minimum operating specification for each access function

FunctionRequired actionAccountable roleCompletion evidence
Recognize needRegister the request once; capture barriers and contact preferences.Intake leadEpisode ID and original timestamp
Assess urgencyClinical review sets route, due time, and safety instructions.Designated clinical reviewerPriority, rationale, reviewer, due time
Arrange careReceiving service accepts; match capacity and address barriers.Access coordinator with service leadNamed receiving team and agreed next step
Deliver careComplete the appropriate assessment, advice, test, or treatment.Treating clinical teamQualifying clinical event and timestamp
Confirm follow-throughReview results; inform patient; confirm next owner and actions.Current episode clinical ownerCommunicated plan and acknowledged handoff
Review resultsExamine delays, failed access, equity, safety, and workload.Executive access councilActions with owners and review dates

Source: The Wait for Care, Table 1.

Operational ownership

The access coordinator tracks progress and removes administrative barriers. The sending service follows up when it does not receive acknowledgment, and retains coordination responsibility until acceptance is confirmed.

A scheduling status alone cannot transfer clinical responsibility.

Clinical responsibility

The designated clinician decides urgency and appropriateness. A scheduler should not independently downgrade risk because a preferred appointment is unavailable. Acceptance establishes the receiving team’s obligations, including who will respond to new symptoms or new results.

The minimum episode record

An episode contains one index clinical need and can include multiple linked tasks. The original timestamp remains unchanged when a task is rerouted, rescheduled, or transferred. A separate audit trail records changes, the reason, and the person authorizing them.

  • Episode identifier
  • Request time
  • Clinical question
  • Route
  • Original due time
  • Current due time
  • Priority
  • Accountable people
  • Service events
  • Barriers
  • Contact attempts
  • Patient preferences
  • Results
  • Disposition

The minimum viable implementation can use existing referral and scheduling systems with a shared worklist and governed reporting layer. A new dashboard does not create access by itself.

Episode tracer

The original request time never resets

The proposed model retains the original request timestamp even when responsibility changes. It records the interval to a first qualifying clinical action and the longer interval to a communicated plan or documented resolution. A dashboard that restarts the clock at each rebooking can report an episode as on time when the patient has waited weeks past the clinical window. Trace one hypothetical episode below, then change the dates.

Trace one episode

All inputs are days counted from the original request (day 0). Defaults are hypothetical.

Set by the designated clinical reviewer for this priority.

Episode timeline (days from original request)

  • Original request and events
  • Clinical due date
  • Interval a reset clock would report

Original clock (Timely Care Access Model)

Request to qualifying service

41 days

Due day 32

Request to communicated plan

49 days

Includes result review and patient communication

Reset clock (what many dashboards report)

Booking to visit

17 days

Reported as on time

Elapsed time hidden

24 days

Waiting the patient experienced but the report omits

Reporting conflict. The reset clock reports this episode as on time while the original clock shows it overdue.

First qualifying action

The predefined clinical service that counts as care delivered for this pathway. An acknowledgment, a scheduled slot, or an unanswered advice message alone does not count.

Clinical resolution

The presenting question has an agreed disposition or ongoing management plan. It does not imply a cure. Diagnostic steps, treatment, and follow-up can remain active after the first appointment.

Original and revised deadlines

Report performance against original and revised deadlines side by side. A revised deadline needs a clinical reason, a named authorizer, and an audit trail entry.

Triage and commitments

Commitments must reflect clinical need

The research reviewed does not establish one safe deadline for every complaint. The priority structure below is an operating design requiring local clinical approval, not a medical triage algorithm. Clinical leaders approve condition-specific criteria, local coverage, reassessment intervals, and escalation responsibility.

Priority structure

Select a priority to see its scheduling commitment and protection rule (Table 2).

Scheduling commitment

Immediate clinical assessment and emergency routing under established protocols.

Escalation and protection

Do not place in the routine queue or await routine authorization.

Table 2. Proposed priority structure requiring local clinical approval

PriorityScheduling commitmentEscalation and protection
EmergencyImmediate clinical assessment and emergency routing under established protocols.Do not place in the routine queue or await routine authorization.
Time sensitiveCondition-specific deadline selected by qualified clinicians.Escalate threatened deadlines before expiry; arrange a safe alternative.
RoutineProspectively agree a clinically acceptable window and patient preferences.Track original request age; offer alternatives with informed agreement.
Planned follow-upBook against a clinical recall or surveillance due date.Do not repeatedly postpone planned care to accommodate new requests.
Changing or uncertain needPrompt qualified review determines or revises the route.Reassess new information; retain the original deadline and revision history.

Source: The Wait for Care, Table 2.

Is this delay voluntary?

A patient elects a later date than the earliest suitable offer. Choose the reason the patient gave.

Recorded preference

Record the offer, the preference, and the agreed plan without deleting elapsed time. Review the clinical suitability of the later date if risk could change.

Receiving alternative

If the organization cannot meet the clinical window, escalation identifies another service able to accept the patient within the window.

Revised, clinically justified plan

A qualified clinician documents why a later date is safe, with the revision and its authorizer kept in the audit trail.

Immediate assessment

When necessary, the patient is assessed now. Promising a date without staffed capacity creates an unsafe expectation.

Patient communication commitments. Each patient receives an understandable next step, the responsible contact, the expected timeframe, and a route to report worsening symptoms or failed contact, confirmed in the preferred language and an accessible format. These are proposed model requirements to be evaluated with patients during the pilot.

Measure timely care without hiding unresolved demand

Eight core measures, reviewed side by side

The Timely Care Access Model avoids a single composite access score in its first version, because a weighted index can make deterioration in one service disappear behind improvement in another. Present the core measures together, retain service-specific detail, and compare like urgency categories. Select a measure to read its definition and reporting safeguard.

On-time appropriate care

Operational definition
Episodes with a predefined qualifying clinical service completed by the original due time, divided by all eligible episodes due in the period.
Reporting safeguard
Open overdue and failed-access episodes remain in the denominator. Report missing due times separately.

Denominator honesty check: on-time appropriate care

Enter one period’s episodes. The calculator applies the model’s denominator rule and shows what a completed-only report would claim. Defaults are hypothetical.

Completed care
Unresolved and other dispositions (stay in the denominator)
Reported separately
Excluded from the denominator and disclosed.
Shown in the data-quality panel, never silently dropped.

On-time appropriate care

63.5%

612 of 964 eligible episodes

Completed-only report

80.5%

Overstates by 17.0 points

Unresolved demand

96

Open episodes past due

Missing due time

2.4%

Data-quality review required

Where the eligible episodes went

Referral follow-through

Receipt of a specialist note is only one checkpoint. Enter referral episodes due for completion in the period. Defaults are hypothetical.

These stay active and are not counted as resolved.

Referral follow-through

52.5%

All three checkpoints complete

Largest loss

100

Before specialty input

Advice-only share of input

23.3%

Report separately from in-person care

Referral follow-through funnel

External completion should be confirmed rather than automatically classified as failure because a local appointment record is absent.

Table 3. Proposed core measures and denominator rules

MeasureOperational definitionReporting safeguard
On-time appropriate careEpisodes with a predefined qualifying clinical service completed by the original due time / all eligible episodes due in the period.Open overdue and failed-access episodes remain in the denominator. Report missing due times separately.
Elapsed timeOriginal request to qualifying service; separately, original request to communicated episode plan or resolution.Median and 90th percentile among completed episodes, paired with open-episode age and overdue counts.
Unresolved demandCount and age of active episodes, including those overdue for the next clinical action.Show entries, completed care, other dispositions, and reopening; never use closure alone as success.
Referral follow-throughEpisodes with completed specialty input, reviewed recommendation, and patient communication / referral episodes due for completion.Separate advice-only resolution from in-person care still required and from external completion.
Primary care availabilityThird next available suitable appointment by visit type and continuity option.Snapshot supply measure; pair with actual patient waits and unsuccessful requests.
Hospital transition timesAdmission decision to inpatient management and to bed transfer; discharge to required completed follow-up.Keep intervals separate; report clinical route, urgency, and overdue follow-up.
Patient burden and equityReported attempts, travel, cost barriers, and understanding; on-time rates by relevant population groups.Use consistent eligibility, review missing data, protect small cells, and show group denominators.
Safety and capacityDelay-related incidents, deterioration while waiting, return visits, continuity, overtime, inbox work, and staffed capacity.Use clinical review and case-mix context; do not treat all return visits as caused by access failure.

Source: The Wait for Care, Table 3.

Scenario model

Test structure and process before funding either

Waiting lists grow when incoming work exceeds completed work over time. The engine applies the report’s accounting identity week by week: next backlog = current backlog + new eligible requests − completed care − separately documented other dispositions. It adds two mechanisms from the companion research: usable capacity is smaller than nominal slots, and no-shows rise with lead time, which can tip a queue from manageable to runaway. Four scenarios follow the Emrick SPO discipline: baseline, structure-only, process-only, and combined.

Scenario, not forecast. Every default below is hypothetical. Results show how the stated assumptions interact; they are not estimates from the literature or predictions for any organization. Projected savings should remain scenarios until measured with an appropriate comparison.

Access flow simulator

Choose a starting preset, then edit any assumption. All four scenarios recalculate together.

Hypothetical primary care clinic operating near its capacity threshold.

Route assumptions
Staffing, visit length, rooms, testing, and preparation.
Toward about 37 percent at 60 or more days (Green and Savin 2008 source data).
Refusal, external care, unable to contact. Not counted as care.
Structure lever
Added clinicians, sessions, or rooms. Design input.
Process levers
Template standardization. Design assumption.
Penn high-risk trial: 11.3 to 9.6 percent, about 15 percent relative.
UCSF filled 30.5 percent of offered slots; default assumes half are offered. Watch equity.
Planning range 20 to 30 percent; LA County 25 percent. Specialty routes only.
Referral quality and rework. Design assumption.

Baseline

0

open episodes at end

Structure-only

0

open episodes at end

Process-only

0

open episodes at end

Combined

0

open episodes at end

Persistent demand and capacity deficit. Even the combined scenario ends with demand above effective capacity.

SPO discipline.

Open episodes by week, four scenarios

  • Baseline
  • Structure-only
  • Process-only
  • Combined

Estimated queue time at end of horizon (days)

Little’s Law estimate: open episodes divided by weekly completions, times 7. Excludes later dates patients choose.

ScenarioOpen at endChangeQueue time (days)Demand to effective capacityNo-show rate at endCompleted per week
Baseline000000

Why queues tip near capacity

Illustrative single-server queueing relationship from standard theory (relative wait = utilization / (1 − utilization)). It is not calibrated to any clinic. The marker shows the baseline demand to effective capacity ratio, capped at 0.97 for display.

Nominal slots are not usable capacity

Nominal slots per week

0

Usable slots

0

Effective after no-shows

0

Baseline, final week

Review repeat contacts, returned referrals, avoidable rebooking, and canceled sessions before interpreting demand as entirely new work. Some improvements will require additional clinical capacity, extended coverage, or external partnerships; make those requirements explicit rather than absorbing them as unpaid work.

Time released is not yet capacity

Staff time released becomes capacity only if it can be deployed to needed work. Rebuild templates around the time a tool frees, or the gain disappears.

Better referral completion can raise demand

An intervention that improves referral completion can initially increase specialty demand, exposing previously unmet need. That is not necessarily failure.

Advanced access has a limit

Responsive scheduling fails if demand permanently exceeds capacity (Murray and Berwick 2003). The persistent deficit preset shows that case.

Companion composite from More Capacity, Longer Waits

The Emrick CARE Access Model and CARE Index

CARE (Continuum Access Reliability for the Enterprise) scores five layers of the patient’s path and absorbs three existing Emrick frameworks without changing their formulas: the Front Door Reliability Score (FDRS) feeds the front door layer, the Diagnostic Access Equity Index (DAEI) is the diagnostic layer, and the SPO model is the scenario engine.

How this tab relates to the Timely Care Access Model. The Wait for Care recommends reviewing core measures side by side rather than relying on one composite in a first implementation. Use this composite only with its layer scores, its strata, and its concealment warning in view. The weights, floors, and several targets are the author’s design parameters and have not been validated against outcomes; calibrate them locally.

Front Door Reliability Score

FDRS = 0.30 Experience + 0.40 Access + 0.30 Throughput, less 2.5 x max(0, (portal share − assisted support share − 20) / 100).

Weighted sum

8.07

Friction penalty

0.25

FDRS

7.82

x 10 = 78.2 in Layer F

Diagnostic Access Equity Index

DAEI = 0.20 Geography + 0.25 Timeliness + 0.20 Affordability and administration + 0.20 Diagnostic closure + 0.15 Equity.

DAEI (Layer D)

65.7

Generally stable

Layer D score 65.7

Domains under 50

Equity

DAEI concealment check

CARE metrics

Each metric converts to 0 to 100 by linear interpolation between its floor (score 0) and target (score 100), capped at both ends.

F. Front door and primary care (layer weight 0.25) 0

78.2

Within-layer weight 0.40. Score 0
Within-layer weight 0.30. Floor 50, target 90. Score 0
Within-layer weight 0.30. Floor 21, target 1. Score 0
R. Referral and specialty handoff (0.20) 0
Within-layer weight 0.35. Floor 40, target 90. Score 0
Within-layer weight 0.25. Floor 50, target 90. Score 0
Within-layer weight 0.20. Floor 45, target 10. Score 0
Within-layer weight 0.20. Floor 12, target 2. Score 0
H. Hospital throughput (0.25) 0
Within-layer weight 0.35. Floor 35, target 5. Score 0
Within-layer weight 0.25. Floor 40, target 10. Score 0
Within-layer weight 0.15. Floor 6, target 1. Score 0
Within-layer weight 0.25. Floor 15, target 5. Score 0
N. Navigation, coverage, and network integrity (0.15) 0
Within-layer weight 0.30. Floor 25, target 90. Score 0
Within-layer weight 0.25. Floor 60, target 95. Score 0
Within-layer weight 0.25. Floor 55, target 95. Score 0
Within-layer weight 0.20. Floor 50, target 90. Score 0

CARE Index

63.69OF 100

Band

Strained

Recurrent queue failures at one or more handoffs.

CARE Index = 0.25 F + 0.20 R + 0.15 D + 0.25 H + 0.15 N

Failing <35
Fragile 35 to 49
Strained 50 to 64
Managed 65 to 79
Reliable 80+

Layer scores, composite, and strata on the band scale

Equity strata

Every metric and the composite are reported by payer, race and ethnicity, preferred language, rurality, and disability, plus age group and behavioral health diagnosis. Enter stratum layer scores.

Stratum A (worked example)

Stratum B (optional, hypothetical values)

Concealment rule: when the composite is 50 or above, a warning fires if (a) any reported stratum scores 10 or more points below the composite or falls one or more bands lower, (b) any enterprise layer is under 50, or (c) any DAEI domain is under 50. Strata with fewer than 30 episodes are combined over a longer window rather than dropped.

CARE maturity model and alignment with FDRS and DAEI

CARE levelDescriptionTypical FDRS bandTypical DAEI maturity level
1. SiloedEach department owns its own queue; wait data are anecdotal; no closed-loop referral trackingReactiveDepartmental
2. MeasuredStandard definitions (TNAA, request-to-appointment, ECAT components) reported monthlyDefinedAccessible
3. OrchestratedReferral closure tracked end to end; command function spans ambulatory and inpatient flow; SPO scenarios precede capacity decisionsStandardizedIntegrated
4. Equity-accountableAll metrics stratified; concealment warnings drive resource allocation; executive compensation tied to strata gapsOptimizedEquity-managed
5. AnticipatoryPredictive demand and no-show models, coverage-risk forecasting, and surge plans adjust capacity before queues formAdaptivePopulation-optimized

An enterprise cannot claim a level until it meets every lower level. Source: More Capacity, Longer Waits, Table 5.

Leading indicators and escalation triggers

Leading indicatorTriggerRequired response
Clinic TNAA (weekly)Rises 2 consecutive weeks, or exceeds 7 days for new visitsBacklog burn-down plan; release held slots; SPO process-only scenario
No-show rate in appointments booked more than 14 days outExceeds 1.5 times the same-week rateShorten lead time; targeted risk-tier reminders
Referral-to-scheduled intervalMedian over 5 business days in any specialtyNavigator escalation; eConsult routing review
Adult inpatient occupancy85 percent or more on 3 consecutive daysSurge protocol; elective smoothing review; hospital at home intake
Admitted boarding more than 4 hoursAbove 25 percent for a weekCommand center bed huddle; discharge-before-noon push
Avoidable daysAny patient medically ready more than 24 hours without dischargeDaily post-acute and payer escalation
Prior authorization clock breachesAny breach of the 72-hour or 7-day CMS-0057-F clocksPayer escalation log; regulatory complaint pathway
Coverage renewal due listAttributed patients with a Medicaid renewal due within 60 daysProactive renewal assistance before scheduled specialty or imaging care
ED self-pay shareRises 1 point in a quarterFinancial counseling at the front door; presumptive eligibility screening
Directory verification failuresMore than 10 percent of a specialty’s listings fail secret shopperRemove or correct listings; recompute effective network

Source: More Capacity, Longer Waits, Table 4.

Evidence

What the research supports, and how strongly

The published evidence supports several components of a stronger access system, but it does not validate the combined model or identify one optimal configuration. Interactive rebuilds sit above each published figure; open the figure to compare.

Figure 1. Findings in an advanced access review (study counts)

  • Favorable and statistically significant
  • Other favorable finding
  • No favorable finding

Adadja et al. (2026), 29 studies. Counts are not effect sizes or certainty ratings. Bar segments measured from the published figure.

Published Figure 1: direction and statistical support of findings in an advanced access review

Figure 2. Individualized discharge planning compared with routine discharge

Gonçalves-Bradley et al. (2022), Cochrane review. Separate panels use different units; dashed lines mark no difference. The readmission result is a relative effect, not an 11 percentage-point absolute reduction.

Published Figure 2: discharge planning effects on length of stay and readmission

National context from More Capacity, Longer Waits

New-patient wait by specialty, 2025 (days)

AMN Healthcare 2025 survey, 15 large metros. OB/GYN and cardiology approximately 42 and 33 days.

eConsult and eReferral: days to first specialty visit

Chen et al., NEJM 2013; NYC Health + Hospitals (internal data, not peer reviewed); AJMC 2019.

The referral funnel: of 100 referrals

Weiner et al. 2010 (urban academic primary care, patients 65 and older). Duke network: 34.8 percent documented complete; completed referrals waited 20.1 days versus 41.7 days for incomplete ones (Patel et al. 2018).

No-shows rise with lead time

Green and Savin 2008 source data: about 4 percent same day, about 37 percent at 60 or more days. Only these two published points are shown.

20%

Adults 65 and older with ED stays over 8 hours in 2024, up from 12 percent in 2017 (Haimovich et al. 2025).

781,000

Unnecessary hospital days in Florida’s 2025 survey of 95 hospitals, about 2,140 beds occupied year-round (Florida Hospital Association).

96

Labor and delivery unit closures from January 2024 to May 2026, adding about 25 minutes of travel (March of Dimes 2026).

Table 6. Selected evidence and its role in the proposed model

SourceDesign and scopeContributionKey limitation
Levesque et al., 2013Conceptual access frameworkAccess includes the ability to reach and use care.Framework rather than intervention evaluation.
Adadja et al., 2026Systematic review; 29 studiesResponsive primary care scheduling.Heterogeneous designs; limited ED evidence.
Engström et al., 2025Systematic review of personal continuityProtect continuity alongside speed.Much evidence is observational.
Peeters et al., 2024Systematic review; 72 studiesSpecialist advice and referral design.Low or very low certainty; heterogeneous endpoints.
Olayiwola et al., 2016Cluster-randomized cardiology studySeparate advice from visit pathways.One setting and specialty; pathway selection matters.
Patel et al., 2018Single-system referral analysisTrack the full referral process.Historical and not nationally representative.
Janke et al., 2026Multicenter observational studyMeasure inpatient management handoff.Variation does not establish effects of a repair.
Gonçalves-Bradley et al., 2022Cochrane review; 33 trials overallIndividualized discharge planning.Predominantly older medical patients; costs uncertain.
Murphy et al., 2026Systematic review; 25 studiesTrack authorization-related barriers.Total attributable harm remains uncertain.
W. C. Chen et al., 2025Radiation oncology quality improvementImprove authorization information flow.Nonrandomized and setting-specific.
D. W. Chen et al., 2025Cross-sectional portal assessmentProvide multilingual entry routes.Login accessibility rather than clinical outcomes.
M. Chen et al., 2024Cancer navigation systematic reviewAddress patient-specific barriers.Oncology evidence requires adaptation elsewhere.
Vakkalanka et al., 2026Matched Medicare comparisonConsider selected home-care options.Residual selection and confounding possible.

Source: The Wait for Care, Table 6. Showing 13 of 13 sources.

A practical pilot and evaluation plan

Begin with one bounded pathway that crosses settings

A primary care referral to cardiology, followed when appropriate by diagnostic testing, hospitalization, and outpatient follow-up, is one possible pilot. Include patients managed without hospitalization, or the project selects only a subset of the access journey. Ninety days is a practical launch period, not proof of long-term effectiveness.

Days 1 to 30

Select one primary, specialty, and discharge pathway; reconcile records; map barriers; establish baseline and clinical timing rules.

Leads: clinical sponsor, operations, analytics, patient partners.

Decision evidence: agreed cohort, reliable timestamps, denominator rules, capacity assessment.

Days 31 to 60

Pilot intake, triage, receiving-team acknowledgment, navigation, and daily overdue review.

Leads: service leads and access coordinator.

Decision evidence: documented ownership; unresolved episodes reviewed; safety issues acted on.

Days 61 to 90

Refine templates and handoffs; compare with baseline and a suitable comparison service where feasible.

Leads: quality and analytics with clinical leads.

Decision evidence: timeliness, continuity, equity, workload, and safety reviewed together.

After day 90

Continue observation and extend only if results and resources support it.

Lead: executive access council.

Decision evidence: sustained improvement, adequate follow-up, and no unacceptable balancing harm.

Source: The Wait for Care, Table 4. A proposed implementation sequence rather than externally validated deadlines.

Local investigation checklist

Records and interviews needed to test the model locally (Table 5). Check each item as it is obtained.

0 of 18 evidence items obtained

Where is time lost?
Who does not reach care?
Is capacity insufficient?
Who is accountable at a handoff?
Whose barriers remain unresolved?
Did improvement cause better outcomes?

The executive access council

Resolves conflicts that individual departments cannot settle. It approves measure definitions and capacity decisions, reviews safety signals, and assigns responsibility for failed handoffs. An operational huddle addresses today’s unresolved work; a monthly review examines recurring causes and resource needs.

  • Executive operations
  • Primary care
  • Specialty care
  • Hospital medicine
  • Nursing
  • Scheduling
  • Revenue cycle
  • Quality
  • Analytics
  • Patient representation

Build the business case honestly

Include navigation, clinical triage, specialist advice, interpreter services, data maintenance, patient travel, and the burden placed on families. Keep four quantities separate:

  • Cash expenditure
  • Staff time released
  • Usable clinical capacity
  • Potential avoided utilization, which stays a scenario until measured with an appropriate comparison

Run charts first

Retrieve several months of historical data when reliable. Use weekly run charts initially rather than treating the first month as a sufficient baseline.

Interrupted time series

When data support it, test whether changes exceed prior trends with adequate pre- and post-intervention observations. A comparable service strengthens interpretation.

Fidelity and effectiveness

Did the receiving team acknowledge ownership, address barriers, and review overdue episodes? A negative result may reflect design, capacity, or inconsistent implementation.

Safety stop. Clinical leaders should immediately review serious delay-related events and stop or modify a pathway if safety is threatened. Scaling requires sustained performance and a credible resource plan, not a single favorable month.

References

Sources for both reports

The Wait for Care lists 14 peer-reviewed and authoritative sources. More Capacity, Longer Waits lists 126 sources for its national evidence and the CARE model, numbered as in that report.

  1. The Wait for CareAdadja, J., Lafrance, S., Gnanvi, J., Bergeron, F., Boutin, A., Breton, M., Guertin, J. R., & Berthelot, S. (2026). Association of advanced access with primary care performance: A systematic review. Annals of Family Medicine, 24(3), 239-251. https://doi.org/10.1370/afm.250593
  2. The Wait for CareChen, D. W., Watanabe, M., Xie, S., Huston-Paterson, H. H., Banerjee, M., & Haymart, M. R. (2025). Language barriers and access to hospital patient portals in the US. JAMA Network Open, 8(10), e2537864. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2025.37864
  3. The Wait for CareChen, M., Wu, V. S., Falk, D., Cheatham, C., Cullen, J., & Hoehn, R. (2024). Patient navigation in cancer treatment: A systematic review. Current Oncology Reports, 26(5), 504-537. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11912-024-01514-9
  4. The Wait for CareChen, W. C., Carpenter, C., Sidiqi, B., Pattison, A. J., Hwang, J., Pappas, D., & Potters, L. (2025). Integrating prior authorization into clinical workflows to improve care access and the practitioner experience. JAMA Network Open, 8(12), e2549093. https://doi.org/10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2025.49093
  5. The Wait for CareEngström, S. G., André, M., Arvidsson, E., Östgren, C. J., Troein, M., & Borgquist, L. (2025). Personal GP continuity improves healthcare outcomes in primary care populations: A systematic review. British Journal of General Practice, 75(757), e518-e525. https://doi.org/10.3399/BJGP.2024.0568
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The Wait for Care: Timely Care Access Model dashboard and scenario model. Research and model by Kelly Emrick, DHSc, PhD, MBA, BSRT(ARRT)R. October 2026.

The Timely Care Access Model and the Emrick CARE Access Model are original syntheses for local testing. They are not validated clinical instruments, universal waiting-time standards, or replacements for professional judgment. All calculator defaults are hypothetical and illustrative.

Version 1.0.0

Patient Timely Care Access Model

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